RESERVOIR EMPTYING SIMULATION METHODOLOGY AS A BASIS FOR NEGOTIATED WATER ALLOCATION
Water Resources Management; Water Security; Statistical modeling; Penman-Montheith FAO
The evapotranspiration process that occurs in surface water reservoirs is
considered as a “loss” due to the significant volume of water that passes into the atmosphere,
It is important to measure such losses both in the design phase and in the
during the period of operation of the reservoir. In this context, the allocation mechanisms
can contribute to the more efficient application of water management tools.
water resources, with the main objective of guaranteeing water security. The difficulty
of obtaining evapotranspiration values is a great challenge for the management of
water resources, especially in arid and semi-arid regions, such as the Reservoir
Lima Campos, located in the municipality of Icó-CE, Brazil, in the Rio Sub-basin
Salty. Statistical-computational tools emerge as great allies in the study,
characterization and solution of practical problems in the area of Water Resources, mainly
given the need to optimize time and minimize errors. Based on this context, this
research aims to carry out the construction of a model capable of filling gaps in the data series
and forecast the future values of the data series, applying the
Artificial Neural Networks, and to estimate the reference evapotranspiration by the Penman-
Montheith FAO.